mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #148190 - Ignore mahkoh |
6/18/2019 1:48:06 PM
KSK, good work on VISL. What do you use as a guide in deciding to exit? Level2, S/R, volume?
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KSK8 561 posts msg #148207 - Ignore KSK8 |
6/20/2019 1:58:37 AM
Last year I would literally just wait till the close but nowadays I've become fearful of that tactic. So I mainly just watch the level 2 order book for getting out. Either that or I see where the price is in regards to its support/or resistance. Every scenario is different.
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KSK8 561 posts msg #148254 - Ignore KSK8 |
6/23/2019 6:12:43 PM
Forgot to include this one which is actually a primary metric I always look at as a supporting indicator to get out; the RSI(2) on the daily timeframe dipping below 95 is an indication that the price is no longer deemed overextended. -At least that's how I see it.
The larger timeframe has a greater degree of influence on the price than the lower timeframe which is why its effective.-I'm sure everyone knows this though.
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mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #148268 - Ignore mahkoh |
6/24/2019 6:40:08 PM
Funny, when backtesting your strategy I had also looked at a Reversersi value for additional exit. In my tests Reversersi(2,50) came out as optimal profit target.
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KSK8 561 posts msg #148277 - Ignore KSK8 |
6/25/2019 10:48:23 AM
What criteria did you test?
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Village Elder 231 posts msg #148300 - Ignore Village Elder |
6/28/2019 2:14:16 PM
@KSK8 - you are crushing it on your trades. Well done.
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mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #148301 - Ignore mahkoh |
6/29/2019 11:50:00 AM
I was testing the filter you posted on the holy grail thread using reversersi(2) as alternative exit for covering at the close. Backtesting and optimization were done with Stratasearch. I don't remember the exact filter, but it was rather basic, something like close>2 and roc(2)> 30 and your liquidity criteria. It returned some 1200 trades over a 3 year period with a 185 % compounded annual return. I did trade this for a few months using $500 positions to see whether I would get filled. I was actually surprised that more often than not I was able to get a hold of shares to short at IB. Results were not as stellar as the backtest however, and I noticed many trades reversing during the session to end up a loss.
Further testing and adding criteria I found a few things: high average volume decreases the chance of succes and volume should at least be 10 times average volume(30). And it helps if a significant part of the float was traded.
During the first testperiod I usually got somewhere between 5 and 15 candidates. I would set up orders for the top ten and see which would get a fill. Now I pick no more than 2, but the last few trades IB has not been able to find shares.
Anyway, my filter as of now:
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KSK8 561 posts msg #148308 - Ignore KSK8 |
6/29/2019 5:24:55 PM
Interesting, check this one out;
I've based some of my very successful trades from this one alone.
It only yields candidates a few times a month, BUT it is one of the most reliable 1 day shorting filters I've come up with. Most accurate as well. I'm comfortable making it public as I have others similar that I can rely on.
I would love to backtest this with Stratasearch. However, if I recall, Stratasearch does not have max and min components which this filter has in it. Not sure if there's a way around it...
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four 5,087 posts msg #148309 - Ignore four modified |
6/29/2019 6:14:56 PM
StrataSearch has absolute?
----------------------------------------------- StockFetcher
set{x4, abs(open minus close)}
add column x4
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mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #148315 - Ignore mahkoh |
6/30/2019 6:22:21 AM
I had to adjust a few statements in order to run it with economy class subscription. It suggests FRSX which I also have as first on the list.
Stratasearch has min/max functions, but they're called lower and higher. Also abs() is available.
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