StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · KSK8 Questions on The Most Profitable Thread on Stockfetcher<< 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 >>Post Follow-up
KSK8
561 posts
msg #150103
Ignore KSK8
1/4/2020 3:39:59 AM

NVAX:

Fetcher[

/* Short open, cover close */

offset is 1
close < 10
close > 1
volume > 1000000
market is not ETF
market is not OTCBB

/* When RSI(2) jumps from oversold to overbought = Overextension */

set{v1, count(rsi(2) 1 day ago was below 30,1)}
set{v2, count(rsi(2) 1 day ago was above 10,1)}
set{v3, count(rsi(2) is above 95,1)}
set{v4, v1*v2}
set{v5, v4*v3}
set{v6, count(v5 > 0,1)}

v6 > 0


]



Beware of playing the ones under $1, the whipsaw can be brutal.

RTTR:

Fetcher[

/* Short open, cover close */

market is not ETF
market is not OTCBB
close > 0.1
close < 10
volume > 1000000

set{a1, open - low}
set{a2, a1/open }
set{a3, count(a2 > .01 , 100)}
set{b1, count(a3 > 90,1)} /* 90/100 days the price dropped under the open at least 1% */
set{b2, count(Average Day Range(10) > 10,1)} /* volatility component */
set{b3, count(rsi(2) > 90,1)} /* basic overextension */
set{b4, count(volume reached a new 30 day high,1)} /* accumulation is needed for a selloff */
set{c1, b1*b2}
set{c2, c1*b3}
set{c3, c2*b4}

c3 > 0

offset is 1

]



Village Elder
231 posts
msg #150177
Ignore Village Elder
1/8/2020 7:57:20 AM

Please check your latest results post - all seems to have been profitable when two are losses, and the net loss shows up as a gain in total equity.

Not a criticism of the system. Going forward I would rather see modest trade sizes (e.g., $10,000 per trade) as this is more realistic than thinking you can short $400,000 into a single penny stock. I know it is more of a demonstration than actual trading, but as such it would be more informative to see how the system works with smaller bets over time. Most folks would never keep going all-in as you are showing. Just a thought as we start off the new year.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150186
Ignore KSK8
modified
1/8/2020 1:39:05 PM

Village Elder,

1. It was a mere typo lol, it was meant to say "Gain".

2. I've never allocated $400,000 in a single stock because of liquidity reasons. But take note that I have been diversifying more since the portfolio is getting larger. But it is a thought I will consider.

nibor100
1,103 posts
msg #150230
Ignore nibor100
1/10/2020 9:57:33 AM

@ksk8,

Piling on here,
by my calculations of your transactions since Jan 6 your balance should be over half a million.

Ed S.



KSK8
561 posts
msg #150256
Ignore KSK8
1/11/2020 12:48:53 AM

You're right!

On January 7th I forgot to factor in the $18,000 and $17,000 profits.

Adjusted, the total equity should be sitting at $524,736.

However, I have enough confidence with my trading that I expect this portfolio to get there either way, so I'm fine letting it sit at $485,116.

shillllihs
6,102 posts
msg #150415
Ignore shillllihs
modified
1/19/2020 7:31:49 PM

Just for discussion to make those uncomfortable with shorting feel better.
Hypothetically assuming you place a 20k trade shorting a stock how much of a buffer would you need to feel comfortable assuming some stocks can go up 600% or more. In other words what would be your account size or ratio.
Your system is ideal for someone who is broke ass with nothing to lose in case of a real bad spike, will they close you out before it gets real bad and or is there a way to get off the hook or set it up where they can't get your assets.
And I still contend since you are never really going All in in real life your return will be more in line with a decent long system without the risk of unlimited losses. For sure you will claim your system never losses 600% but it has lost 50-100% so it is possible. I mean if you were going to be honest you would say you might be playing 2-5% per stock plus subtracting borrowing fees. So what are you making then? That's the real deal.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150416
Ignore KSK8
1/19/2020 9:13:56 PM

I've already warned about the brutal drawdowns and the risks it encompasses. But to clarify, there is not one stock from any filter I've posted which spiked even close to "600%" the following day.

That aside, note, I've capitalized multiple 10%er's in a row. I could allocate even a small fraction of the portfolio into candidates and it would still outperform practically any other system by a large margin.

If I really wanted to, I could probably reach #1 on that 2nd rate hedge fund site in just a few months.

shillllihs
6,102 posts
msg #150417
Ignore shillllihs
1/19/2020 9:44:41 PM

Maybe you would make it top 1 in a few months, but even those 2nd rate members would sniff out the fact that it's a Monopoly Money system so you wouldn't make a dime.

SFMc01
358 posts
msg #150843
Ignore SFMc01
2/21/2020 12:12:51 PM

KSK8: Haven't seen any trades posted in almost a month. Are u still trading Shorts at OPEN?

Steve Mc

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150847
Ignore KSK8
2/21/2020 5:13:47 PM

Been on vacation.

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